Election Day, Nov 3 6 daysSenate D 85%House D 97%Governors D 86%Forecast updated Oct 28
Early vote by county · West Virginia · Oct. 28, 2026

62,366 ballots cast in West Virginia

County leadD +30D +15D +5EvenR +5R +15R +30
62,366Ballots cast
Counts from state election offices via civicAPI, as of October 28. Party modeled by On Point Polling where a state reports none. Past years modeled on the same day before Election Day.onpointpolitics.us/maps/early-vote/west-virginia
Hover any county for its ballots. Below: where each side needs the early vote to be.

As of October 28, 2026, 62,366 ballots have been cast in West Virginia: 0 by mail and 62,366 in person. Registered Democrats cast 41.0% of them and registered Republicans 38.8%. See the West Virginia Senate forecast, and on election night the live West Virginia election results.

Early vote benchmarks · West Virginia

Strong signal for Democrats in the West Virginia Senate race

Where the party lead of the early vote has to be by now for each side to beat the On Point forecast by a lot or to prove the favorite wrong, and how far each side is from it.

DemocratRachel Fetty Anderson
On Point forecastR +32.4100% chance for Capito
RepublicanShelley Moore Capito
Party lead of the early vote, by nowEach mark is the lead the ballots need for that result, if Election Day goes as the forecast expects
D +5EvenR +5R +10R +15R +20R +25R +30R +35R +40D +5 on forecastD +3.5R +5 on forecastR +37.0Now D +2.2Expected R +16.8
For this resultEarly vote needsIt isGap
Democrats beat the forecast by 5race lands R +27.4D +3.5D +2.21.3 short
Republicans beat the forecast by 5race lands R +37.4R +37.0D +2.239.2 short
Democrats flip the racerace lands EvenOut of reachD +2.2Not on early ballots
Where that leaves the raceVote margin: the forecast and its 80 percent range, the polls, the early vote read and the 2024 presidential result
EvenR +5R +10R +15R +20R +25R +30R +35R +40Early vote read R +27.7Forecast R +32.42024 president R +41.9
Forecast 80% rangePoll rangeEarly vote read2024 president
How Election Day voters have to breakElection Day is about 66% of the vote the forecast expects. Its voters are whoever the forecast expects to vote, minus the early voters, sorted by how they voted in 2024
Early votersvotes R +9.3
64%28%
Election Day votersvotes R +37.1
73%20%
Trump 2024 votersHarris 2024 votersNew voters
EvenR +10R +20R +30R +40R +50Flip line D +4.8D +5 on forecast R +36.7Forecast expects R +37.1R +5 on forecast R +51.8

If the early vote ends where it is pointing, Anderson needs Election Day voters to break D +4.8 to win, 41.9 points bluer than the R +37.1 the forecast expects of them. With the forecast holding, Election Day lands near R +44.2.

Benchmarks assume the rest of the early vote keeps the gap seen so far and Election Day votes as the forecast expects. Party is registration where West Virginia publishes it and the On Point party model where it does not. Crossover rates are On Point Polling likely voters nationwide. The forecast builds the early vote into the electorate it simulates, so this read is a check against the forecast, not an addition to it. Polls of the last 30 days leave out Rasmussen, ActiVote and Wedgewood, as the site average does.

Who has voted so far · modeled by On Point Polling

The electorate of the 0 ballots cast in West Virginia

Every ballot cast so far, by the voters behind it: the forecast’s own 2026 electorate, split by who votes by mail, early in person or on Election Day, set to each county's live count and party split. Compare it with the whole electorate the forecast expects by Election Day.

0%100% 4 of 4

How it works: every county starts from the 1,152 voter types the forecast simulates in it, by age, race, college, party, 2022 and 2024 vote history and Trump approval, each with its chance of voting. A model of On Point Polling likely voters gives each type its chance of voting by mail, early in person or on Election Day under the state’s ballot rules, and respondents add the share of women in each type and how many of the 2018 and 2020 elections it voted in. Those mixes are set to the ballots each county has actually cast by mail and in person, and to its party split, reported or modeled. Where a state publishes early voters by age, race or gender, that dimension follows the state’s count. These are estimates, not voter file counts.

How ballots came inRace forecast
Mail 0In person 62K
Of 2022 turnout12.6%
Pacen/a
Mail not back yetn/a
Party registration, as reported
Democrats 41.0%Other 20.2%Republicans 38.8%

Party registration of the voters who cast these ballots. It is not how they voted.

Party leadD +2.2
Vs expectedD +19.0
Pace against past years

No 2022 or 2024 checkpoints for West Virginia, so there is no pace line.

Every West Virginia county

0 counties
CountyBallotsMailIn personDemocratsRepublicansLead
Loading counties

Early vote questions

How many people have voted early in West Virginia?

As of October 28, 2026, 62,366 ballots have been cast in West Virginia: 0 mail ballots returned and 62,366 cast in person.

Does West Virginia report early votes by party?

Yes. Of the ballots cast so far, registered Democrats have cast 41.0% of these ballots, Republicans 38.8% and independents and third parties 20.2%. Party registration shows who has voted, not how they voted.

When is Election Day in West Virginia?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 6 days after the latest count. Check the West Virginia election office for early voting locations, hours and mail ballot deadlines.

Counts come from civicAPI, which collects them from state election offices. Each state reports on its own schedule and publishes different breakdowns, so a state with no party split simply does not publish one. Pace uses each state's published 2022 and 2024 early vote checkpoints.

Free updatesWest Virginia early vote and results by email

The On Point newsletter: the early vote as it comes in, the final forecast and the results on election night. Free, and you can leave any time.

On Point on YouTubeWest Virginia's early vote, explained on YouTubeShort breakdowns of the ballots as they come in, the forecast and election night, on the On Point channel.Subscribe