Poll releases
Surveys fielded by On Point Polling for On Point Politics: dual panel samples weighted with the DSMeridian likely voter model, published with toplines and crosstabs.
Five governor races polled.
On Point Polling likely voters with undecideds leaned. Michigan 586 RV, Oct. 18, 2026, ±5.2 LV. Ohio 635 RV, Oct. 16 to 17, 2026, ±4.9. Texas 661 RV, Oct. 17 to 18, 2026, ±5.5 LV. Florida 601 RV, Oct. 18, 2026, ±5.8 LV. South Carolina 511 RV, Oct. 18 to 19, 2026, ±6.3 LV.
Florida Senate and governor
Moody leads Nixon by 6.7 and Donalds leads Jolly by 3.9 with undecideds leaned, while no party voters back Nixon 56 to 32.
Michigan Senate and governor
El-Sayed leads Rogers by 6.3 and Benson leads James by 12.0 with undecideds leaned, as Trump voters cross over at a higher rate than Harris voters.
Texas Senate, governor and Railroad Commissioner
Talarico leads Paxton by 5.8 while Abbott leads Hinojosa by 2.5, as Republicans and independents cross over against Paxton.
No. 05 · OhioOhio Senate and governor
Brown leads Husted by 4.3 and Acton leads Ramaswamy by 4.8, with Democrats banking a big early vote lead.
South Carolina GOP primary
Senate and governor primaries under the Meridian coalition model: Graham's standing and an open governor's race.
South Dakota GOP primary
A likely voter read on the Republican primary for governor, a three way race at the top of the ticket.
National benchmark
The generic ballot, Trump approval, the 2028 field and the issues underneath it all.
Los Angeles mayor
The mayoral primary with and without leaners allocated, plus the midterm mood among likely voters.
The 2026 national poll
Registered and likely voters on motivation, the generic ballot, the 2028 field, Trump approval and party trust.