2026 forecast
Georgia Public Service Commission, District 3 forecast
Peter Hubbard vs Fitz Johnson, with Peter Hubbard running again. The model has Hubbard ahead by 8.1 points, with a 92 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
159 counties ยท 37 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +5.2 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +5.1 |
| Blend of every leg | D +5.8 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +8.5 |
| With polls, 5% weight | D +8.1 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +15.3 and D +0.8.
Polls of the race
1 poll| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Hubbard | Johnson | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quantus Insights | 815 LV | 2026-08-01 | 39 | 38 | D +1.0 |