2026 forecast
Georgia Attorney General forecast
Tanya Miller vs Brian Strickland, an open seat. The model has Miller ahead by 9.3 points, with a 95 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
159 counties ยท 37 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +5.2 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +5.7 |
| Blend of every leg | D +6.3 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +9.4 |
| With polls, none in the race | D +9.3 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 30%, Approval fundamentals 15%, Gallup, relaxed 10%, Down ballot history 25%, 2026 primaries 20%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +16.7 and D +2.0.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Miller | Strickland | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||