2026 forecast
Michigan Attorney General forecast
Eli Savit vs Doug Lloyd, an open seat. The model has Savit ahead by 9.2 points, with a 96 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
83 counties · 16 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +10.2 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +21.5 |
| Blend of every leg | D +14.7 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +14.7 |
| With polls, 42% weight | D +9.2 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +15.9 and D +2.5.
Polls of the race
3 polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Savit | Lloyd | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research & Communications for Michigan TV stations incl. CBS Detroit | 682 LV | 2026-10-01 | 36 | 36 | R +0.0 |
| Cygnal (R) / Beacon Research (D) for Michigan Enjoyer | 600 LV | 2026-09-21 | 39 | 37 | D +2.0 |
| Glengariff Group for WDIV / Detroit News | 600 LV | 2026-09-03 | 36.3 | 35 | D +1.3 |