2026 ballot measure forecast
Colorado Amendment 82
Constitutional right to natural gas
Creates a consumer right to buy natural gas for cooking or heating and lets utilities and distributors sell it. The forecast has Yes at 45.8 percent against the 55 percent it needs, a 18% chance to pass.
Chance to pass
18%2,000 simulations
Forecast Yes
45.8%80% range 33 to 59
Needs
55%55 percent of the votes on the question
Polling average
NoneNo public polls found
County forecast
40 of 64 counties vote YesNo +30Yes +30Hover a county for its forecast
Where the Yes vote lands
needs 55
2035506580- History and structure
- 45.8% Yes
- Polls
- None
- Forecast
- 45.8% Yes
- Yes leans
- Republican
- Rule to pass
- Colorado constitutional amendments need 55 percent of votes cast on the measure.
The campaign
Citizen initiative; Colorado Democratic Party opposes.
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Polls of the measure
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Yes | No | Undecided | Yes, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this measure. The forecast rests on how comparable measures have run and how it reached the ballot. | ||||||
How this is built
Amendment 82 is forecast as a environment and energy measure whose Yes vote leans Republican. Comparable measures from 2018 to 2024 set how far its Yes share moves with Colorado's partisanship and with each county's 2024 presidential vote, and how it reached the ballot moves it further. Polls then pull the forecast toward them by recency and size, after splitting undecided voters two to one for No. Sources: news.ballotpedia.org, koaa.com, coloradodems.org. All measures.