2026 forecast

Ohio Justice Of The Supreme Court, Seat Held By Jennifer Brunner forecast

Jennifer Brunner vs Colleen O'Donnell, with Jennifer Brunner running again. The model has Brunner ahead by 5.5 points, with a 83 percent chance of winning.

Lean DModel D +5.5Updated October 17, 2026

County forecast

88 counties · 14 lean Democratic
D +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote

How the model gets there

statewide margin at each step
Top of ticket, Senate and governorD +4.1
Down ballot history, moved to 2026R +3.1
Blend of every legD +2.5
With incumbency and primary unityD +5.6
With polls, none in the raceD +5.5

Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +12.9 and R +1.8.

Polls of the race

no polls
PollsterSampleEndedBrunnerO'DonnellMargin
No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries.