2026 forecast
Ohio Justice Of The Supreme Court, Seat Held By Daniel R. Hawkins forecast
Marilyn Zayas vs Daniel R. Hawkins, with Daniel R. Hawkins running again. The model has Hawkins ahead by 0.6 points, with a 54 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
88 counties · 9 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +4.1 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | R +3.1 |
| Blend of every leg | D +2.5 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | R +0.6 |
| With polls, none in the race | R +0.6 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +6.8 and R +7.9.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Zayas | Hawkins | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||