2026 forecast
Oklahoma Attorney General forecast
Nick Coffey vs Jon Echols, an open seat. The model has Echols ahead by 22.6 points, with a 100 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
77 counties · 1 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | R +20.4 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | R +30.6 |
| Blend of every leg | R +23.0 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | R +23.0 |
| With polls, 4% weight | R +22.6 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between R +13.7 and R +31.6.
Polls of the race
1 poll| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Coffey | Echols | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHS & Associates | 500 RV | 2026-08-06 | 34 | 52 | R +18.0 |