2026 forecast
Delaware Treasurer forecast
Ted Lauzen vs Mike Ramone, an open seat. The model has Lauzen ahead by 27.6 points, with a 100 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
3 counties · 2 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate | D +29.8 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +19.5 |
| Blend of every leg | D +28.0 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +28.0 |
| With polls, none in the race | D +27.6 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +37.2 and D +18.0.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Lauzen | Ramone | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||