2026 ballot measure forecast
Indiana Public Question #2
Let city or town judges live in adjacent county
Amends Article 6, Section 6 so a city or town court judge may reside in the county where the court sits or in the nearest bordering county. The forecast has Yes at 63.4 percent against the 50 percent it needs, a 91% chance to pass.
Chance to pass
91%2,000 simulations
Forecast Yes
63.4%80% range 51 to 75
Needs
50%a simple majority
Polling average
NoneNo public polls found
County forecast
92 of 92 counties vote YesNo +30Yes +30Hover a county for its forecast
Where the Yes vote lands
needs 50
2035506580- History and structure
- 63.4% Yes
- Polls
- None
- Forecast
- 63.4% Yes
- Yes leans
- Neither party
- Rule to pass
- Majority of voters on the question.
The campaign
No organized campaigns reported.
Also on the Indiana ballot
Public Question #1
Allow judges to deny bail to dangerous defendants
>99%
Polls of the measure
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Yes | No | Undecided | Yes, adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this measure. The forecast rests on how comparable measures have run and how it reached the ballot. | ||||||
How this is built
Public Question #2 is forecast as a other measure whose Yes vote leans to neither party. Comparable measures from 2018 to 2024 set how far its Yes share moves with Indiana's partisanship and with each county's 2024 presidential vote, and how it reached the ballot moves it further. Polls then pull the forecast toward them by recency and size, after splitting undecided voters two to one for No. Sources: fox19.com, in.gov, in.gov. All measures.