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15 DAYS OUT
NE GovPillen R +0.8GA GovBottoms D +0.8KS GovHolscher D +0.8KS SenMarshall R +1.3IA SenTurek D +1.4AK SenPeltola D +1.4SC SenAndrews D +1.5TX SenTalarico D +2.0TX GovAbbott R +2.2ME SenJackson D +2.5WI GovCrowley D +2.8NE SenOsborn I +3.4OH SenBrown D +3.8NV GovFord D +4.0OH GovActon D +4.7FL GovDonalds R +4.9
2026 ballot measure forecast

Georgia Amendment 2

Nonpartisan elections for all probate judges

Requires all probate court judges to be elected in nonpartisan elections. The forecast has Yes at 59.9 percent against the 50 percent it needs, a 83% chance to pass.

Likely to passConstitutional amendment referred by the legislatureElectionsUpdated October 17, 2026
Chance to pass
83%
2,000 simulations
Forecast Yes
59.9%
80% range 46 to 72
Needs
50%
a simple majority
Polling average
None
No public polls found

County forecast

159 of 159 counties vote Yes
No +30Yes +30Hover a county for its forecast
Where the Yes vote lands
needs 50
2035506580
History and structure
59.9% Yes
Polls
None
Forecast
59.9% Yes
Yes leans
Neither party
The campaign

HR 251; no organized campaign reported.

Also on the Georgia ballot

Amendment 1
Raise conservation use acreage cap to 4,000
95%
Amendment 3
Dedicated Next Generation 911 fund
91%

Polls of the measure

no polls
PollsterSampleEndedYesNoUndecidedYes, adjusted
No public polls of this measure. The forecast rests on how comparable measures have run and how it reached the ballot.
How this is built
Amendment 2 is forecast as a elections measure whose Yes vote leans to neither party. Comparable measures from 2018 to 2024 set how far its Yes share moves with Georgia's partisanship and with each county's 2024 presidential vote, and how it reached the ballot moves it further. Polls then pull the forecast toward them by recency and size, after splitting undecided voters two to one for No. Sources: sos.ga.gov, news4jax.com, theballotbrief.com. All measures.