2026 forecast
Colorado Attorney General forecast
Jena Griswold vs Michael Allen, an open seat. The model has Griswold ahead by 22.4 points, with a 100 percent chance of winning.
County forecast
64 counties · 26 lean DemocraticD +40R +40Hover a county for its projected vote
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +22.4 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +21.1 |
| Blend of every leg | D +26.7 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +23.3 |
| With polls, none in the race | D +22.4 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 30%, Approval fundamentals 15%, Gallup, relaxed 10%, Down ballot history 25%, 2026 primaries 20%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +32.0 and D +12.8.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Griswold | Allen | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||