2026 state legislative forecast

Wyoming House forecast

Republicans win control of the Wyoming House in nearly every one of 2,000 simulations, against a Republican majority today. All 62 seats are on the 2026 ballot; 0 races are within a 35 to 65 split.

Safe RUpdated October 17, 2026Seats 62On the ballot 62Wyoming SenateAll chambers
Chance of control
<1%D>99%R
Democratic seats, 80% range
8 to 9
Median 8 · 32 for a majority
Favored to flip
2to D0to R
After 2024: 6 D, 56 R
Environment
D +13.0
Shift from the 2024 presidential vote

Wyoming House map

District 1: Democrats <1%District 2: Democrats <1%District 3: Democrats <1%District 4: Democrats <1%District 5: Democrats <1%District 6: Democrats <1%District 7: Democrats 21%District 8: Democrats <1%District 9: Democrats 22%District 10: Democrats <1%District 11: Democrats 96%District 12: Democrats <1%District 13: Democrats >99%District 14: Democrats >99%District 15: Democrats <1%District 16: Democrats >99%District 17: Democrats <1%District 18: Democrats <1%District 19: Democrats <1%District 20: Democrats <1%District 21: Democrats <1%District 22: Democrats <1%District 23: Democrats >99%District 24: Democrats <1%District 25: Democrats <1%District 26: Democrats <1%District 27: Democrats <1%District 28: Democrats <1%District 29: Democrats <1%District 30: Democrats <1%District 31: Democrats <1%District 32: Democrats <1%District 33: Democrats >99%District 34: Democrats <1%District 35: Democrats <1%District 36: Democrats <1%District 37: Democrats <1%District 38: Democrats <1%District 39: Democrats <1%District 40: Democrats <1%District 41: Democrats 96%District 42: Democrats <1%District 43: Democrats <1%District 44: Democrats <1%District 45: Democrats >99%District 46: Democrats <1%District 47: Democrats <1%District 48: Democrats <1%District 49: Democrats <1%District 50: Democrats <1%District 51: Democrats <1%District 52: Democrats <1%District 53: Democrats <1%District 54: Democrats <1%District 55: Democrats <1%District 56: Democrats <1%District 57: Democrats <1%District 58: Democrats <1%District 59: Democrats <1%District 60: Democrats <1%District 61: Democrats <1%District 62: Democrats <1%1234569131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404546474849505152535455565758596062
Safe DLean DToss upLean RSafe R

District shapes are estimated from where each district's voters live in the precinct returns, not drawn from the official boundary files.

Pick a district

Hover the map for the odds in any district. Click one to pin it here and find it in the table below.

Every seat

Average 8 D to 54 R
District 13: Democrats win >99%District 16: Democrats win >99%District 23: Democrats win >99%District 33: Democrats win >99%District 45: Democrats win >99%District 14: Democrats win >99%District 41: Democrats win 96%District 11: Democrats win 96%District 9: Democrats win 22%District 7: Democrats win 21%District 8: Democrats win <1%District 46: Democrats win <1%District 36: Democrats win <1%District 1: Democrats win <1%District 2: Democrats win <1%District 3: Democrats win <1%District 4: Democrats win <1%District 5: Democrats win <1%District 6: Democrats win <1%District 10: Democrats win <1%District 12: Democrats win <1%District 15: Democrats win <1%District 17: Democrats win <1%District 18: Democrats win <1%District 19: Democrats win <1%District 20: Democrats win <1%District 21: Democrats win <1%District 22: Democrats win <1%District 24: Democrats win <1%District 25: Democrats win <1%District 26: Democrats win <1%District 27: Democrats win <1%District 28: Democrats win <1%District 29: Democrats win <1%District 30: Democrats win <1%District 31: Democrats win <1%District 32: Democrats win <1%District 34: Democrats win <1%District 35: Democrats win <1%District 37: Democrats win <1%District 38: Democrats win <1%District 39: Democrats win <1%District 40: Democrats win <1%District 42: Democrats win <1%District 43: Democrats win <1%District 44: Democrats win <1%District 47: Democrats win <1%District 48: Democrats win <1%District 49: Democrats win <1%District 50: Democrats win <1%District 51: Democrats win <1%District 52: Democrats win <1%District 53: Democrats win <1%District 54: Democrats win <1%District 55: Democrats win <1%District 56: Democrats win <1%District 57: Democrats win <1%District 58: Democrats win <1%District 59: Democrats win <1%District 60: Democrats win <1%District 61: Democrats win <1%District 62: Democrats win <1%
Safe DLean DToss upLean RSafe R
Democratic seats across 2,000 simulations
32 for a majority413

Every House district

DistrictLast winner2026 nominees2024 leanForecastDem winRating
7Bob Nicholas 2024Gavin Lobmeyer vs Bob NicholasR +18.4R +5.021%Lean R
9Landon J Brown 2024Stephen Latham vs Boyd WiggamR +25.2R +5.222%Lean R
11Jacob Wasserburger 2024Britney Tennant vs Dan McIntoshR +8.4D +11.896%Likely D
How this is built
Each district starts from its 2024 presidential vote, read off the precincts that voted in it, and moves with the state's 2026 House forecast and the national generic ballot. Half of what the last legislative winner ran ahead of the district carries over, 2026 primary turnout moves districts where it is posted, and district and statewide legislative polls count by recency and sample. A seat with no candidate from one party is called for the other. 2,000 simulations share a national, a state and a district shock. The map's district shapes are estimated from where each district's voters are in the precinct returns. All chambers.