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21 DAYS OUT
KS SenMarshall R +0.2KS GovMasterson R +0.3IA SenTurek D +1.2AK SenPeltola D +1.5FL GovDonalds R +1.7NE SenOsborn I +1.9SC SenGraham R +2.5TX GovAbbott R +2.6GA GovBottoms D +3.0ME SenJackson D +3.1TX SenTalarico D +3.2OH GovActon D +3.4NV GovLombardo R +3.5FL SenMoody R +4.1WI GovCrowley D +4.1OH SenBrown D +4.4
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Situation room

The wire, the board, the calendar ahead and the watchlist, on one screen. The desk runs on eastern time.

Checking the wireReading the calendar aheadTuesday, October 13ET --:--:--
Generic ballot...Model loadingTrump approval...Model loadingRight track...Model loadingTPSI pollB+18.8LA mayor, Bass margin with leaners allocatedProjected Senate54-4635 seats modeled nightlyRedistrictingR+9·D+6Enacted House nets, JuneNext election...Checking the calendarThe midterms21Days to November 3, 2026

The wire

Today’s contests and the latest pollsElection results
Sep 24
Rasmussen ReportsGoldTrump approval−12
44/56LV · 1,500
Sep 22
EmersonGoldGeneric ballotD+11.0
53/42LV · 1,000
EmersonGoldTrump approval−19
39/58LV · 1,000
Sep 21
Echelon InsightsGeneric ballotD+8.0
51/43LV · 1,002
Economist/YouGovGeneric ballotD+14.0
52/38LV · 975
Economist/YouGovTrump approval−28
35/63LV · 982
Echelon InsightsTrump approval−28
36/64LV · 1,002
Reuters/IpsosTrump approval+32
32/0A · 1,277
Sep 20
Morning ConsultGeneric ballotD+7.0
50/43LV · n/a
Reuters/IpsosGeneric ballotD+8.0
43/35RV · 979
Morning ConsultTrump approval−15
41/56RV · 2,201
Reuters/IpsosTrump approval−30
35/65RV · 979
Sep 18
Quantus InsightsGeneric ballotD+8.0
50/42LV · 1,389
Quantus InsightsTrump approval−19
40/59LV · 1,389

The board

Last 90 days
Generic congressional ballot...Trump net approval...Direction of the country...Projected Senate54 - 4665 holdovers + 35 modeled · faded ticks are this cycle’s seats